Betting Blog - Bang and Pod’s bets

Ok, I had written off that £250 and was shocked when Stephanie went but I am more concerned by the fact that the polls and the odds were so out. Maybe I should give up beting, well maybe not….. but I am up;

Great game. France are a mere shadow of their former selves. I can’t believe they were favourites before the game. I think Holland will win the tournament now. If you can beat the World Champions 3-0 and the World Cup runner up 4-1, you’re a shit hot team. Italy and France are out now anyway. I can imagine that the Dutch will let Romania win.

Bet won but had £60 on Italy and £40 on Germany so only about £10 up overall.

Good write up of the game Holland/ France game on 101greatgoals with highlights.

Holland 4 - France 1 (Euro 2008, June 13, 2008) Domenech gave starts to Henry, Govou and Evra, however Malouda was surprisingly kept in the side. Ribery went close with an early header, but the 9th minute Van der Vaart had a corner, Malouda stood statuesque, and Dirk Kuyt nodded the Dutch in the lead. Holland went in search for a second, Sneijder firing over the bar. In the 22nd minute France finally had a shot on target when Govou struck in a smart shot which van der Sar saved with his leg. France were being ouplayed, and their frustrations were on full show as Makelele was booked for striking out at van der Vaart. At the end of the half the French began to look more dangerous, Malouda and Govou both forcing saves from van der Sar, while an ineffective Henry fired wide. (First half highlights here.) Henry had two good chances after the break, the first snuffed out by Ooijer’s handball which the referee failed to spot, and the second a bad miss over the bar after Malouda played a lovely through-ball. Van Basten sent on Robin van Persie for Kuyt, and the Arsenal striker made an immediate impact scoring the decisive second after great work from van Nistelrooy (cheeky backheel) and Robben. With 20 minutes remaining Sagnol charged down the right, crossed, and Thierry Henry got the faintest of touches to pull a goal back. But within 60 second Holland went 3-1 up, Arjen Robben scoring a fabulous solo goal high into Coupet’s near post. Ruud van Nistelrooy (lovely header from De Jong’s raking pass) and Robben came close to adding the fourth, before a wonderful injury-time strike from Wesley Sneijder sealed the win. Holland qualify (celebrations, with babies, here) from the Group of Death, while the French need to beat Italy to stay alive.

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So the flip-flop I predicted yesterday has happend, Mario has overtaken Stephanie as favourite to be evicted first after arguing with Jennifer last night. It looks like that’s £250 down the drain, a great start to the series. 

After the excitement of the Big Brother launch on Thursday its time to get down to the serious matter of the betting. After failing their secret task Mario, Lisa, Steph and Luke are all up for eviction, the polls have Steph as firm favourite to go and this is also shown in the odds where it is down to Steph or Mario, with Steph being the favourite.

At this early stage viewers/voters have not had chance to form views on the housemates so I think the result is still open, all it needs is a bad move from Mario and he is out of there. With this in mind I’m holding off betting too much but could not resist £250 on Steph at 1.6 on Betfair. Hopefully she remains favourite to go and I can put some more on later. 

Just rubbing my hands at a nice win for the dutch. Had a ton on them +0.25 on the Asian Handicap. Nice profit, but as with all winners on the Asian, I have regrets about not having them straight on the 1X2.

Anyway, the game has just finished. You’d think that bookies would suspend the other games in a group while the matched are going on. Looks like, Bet365, VCbet and PaddyPower have just left their markets open. I can only assume their odds setters went home. The sensible bookmaker will have suspended the market and got their odds setters to price the result of tonights game in to the France/ Holland game.

Before tonight, France were favourites, after a 3-0 win of Italy though, you’d think the Dutch would be favourites. This is whats happened on Betfair and Billy Hills. The Lazy odds setters have just left their prices up though, so you can get some good value backing Holland tonight. PaddyPower have Holland win at 3.0 whereas Bet365 have draw no bet for Holland at 1.95.

We’ve gone for Holland @1.95 at bet365. £82 Pod, £118 Bang.

For those of you with less of a budget, you can play 10p roulette or 20p roulette at various tables online

Could not resist this bet.  Portugal, 1.8 £75.  I ring Pod up to see if he’s having anything and he’s put £200 on it.  Not too much thought has gone into this bet.  All I know is that Portugal have Ronaldo, Nani and some other big stars.  I can’t name a single Turkish player.  Therefore, Portugal is nailed on!!

Its on ITV so I’ll be able to watch this in the comfort of my own home.

So BB has started this year.  Good old Billy Hills has come out with some more odds for the show.

Rumours that we are in for the sauciest series of Big Brother yet have already sparked a gamble on a Big Brother Bonk, with William Hill having already accepted bets of up to £100 at odds of 6/1. Hills have cut the price to 4/1. William Hill are expecting a reality TV betting bonanza with Big Brother 9 expected to turnover in excess of £10 million.

“Big Brother is still the daddy of reality TV betting and we are sure to take millions of pounds on the outcome in the next few months,” said Hill’s spokesman Rupert Adams.
William Hill Specials
Gender of winner: 8-15 Male; 11-8 Female
Gender of contestant evicted by the first public vote: 4-7 Female; 5-4 Male
Gender of 1st entrant in to the house: 5-6 Male; 5-6 Female
4/1 BIG BROTHER BONK CAUGHT ON CAMERA DURING BB9

William Hill have installed Michael as their 7/2 favourite to win BB9, with the rank outsiders Sylvia & Alexandra at 25/1.

“The house is full of Freaks & Geeks, it is going to be a very long 93 days,” said Hill’s spokesman Rupert Adams

William Hill Big Brother First Odds: 7/2 Michael, 7/1 Darnnell 8/1 Luke, 8/1 Dale, 10/1 Mohamed, 12/1 Dennis, 12/1 Jennifer, 12/1 Rex, 12/1 Rachael, 14/1 Stephanie, 16/1 Kathreya, 20/1 Mario, 20/1 Lisa, 20/1 Rebecca, 25/1 Sylvia, 25/1 Alexandra.

Will Mario & Steph Pass The First Task? Yes 4/7, No 5/4

Betting on Big Brother is always better on betfair.  Prices are better and you can trade in and out of the market.  Here’s the link to the Big Brother winner market

England win 3-0.  Bet won.  We seem to be doing better not betting in the syndicate. 

This is a picture of the Pod at Dusk Till Dawn Poker on Thursday 29th May.  The crazy fool only went and won it.  I am suprised they let him in with the dress code.

Dress Code
Whilst we understand that our members wish to be comfortable when participating in poker events, we think it important that Dusk Till Dawn enforces a smart but casual dress code.
Members who do not dress appropriately will be refused entry on the door.

http://www.dusktilldawnpoker.com/resultplayers.php?id=222  

This was a game I was going to skip.  I got burnt on the last friendly.  I have 3 or more goals and the game ended 2-0.  England were truely shocking against the USA.  They seemed to give up at 2-0 up rather than pushing for the 3rd goal. 

So todays bet is England to win to nil @ 6/5.  I chose that because I fear the 1-0 scoreline.  Asian Handicap is evens at -1.5.  I think if Trinidad do score, it’ll be a 2-1 or a 1-1 so Asian Handicap will lose.  1-0, 2-0 most likely scores though. 

Stakes, £60 Pod, £40 Bang.    No syndicate, just personal bets. 

Its nearly here.  WIth England out of the Euro Championships its the betting event of the summer for us.  There’s only one place to bet on Big Brother (evictions anyway) and that’s Betfair.  You’re not going to get your bet knocked back and prices are the best.  Get £25 free if you join Betfair with this code 3WC6THFMV

Bookmakers William Hill are planning on shipping in extra staff next week for the opening night of Big Brother and expect a reality TV betting bonanza when the new crop of housemates are unveiled. Hills will be betting throughout the night and expect to accept thousands of bets from Big Brother fans. Hills predict an industry turnover of £15 million on the outcome of BB9 and expect the reality TV industry to turnover £100 million in 2008. Hills are offering various specials for Big Brother including 100/1 that Big Brother will be taken off the air mid series and 5/1 that one of the wannabees changes his/her mind and walk out of the house within twenty four hours of entering it.

“In betting terms Big Brother is by far the most popular of all the reality shows. Turnover on reality TV has increased 100 fold in the last five years and we alone took £2 million on BB8. The most popular bet is the weekly eviction with an industry turnover of over a £1 million”,? said Hill?s spokesman Rupert Adams

William Hill Big Brother Specials:
5/2 Any contestant to receive over 90% of the eviction vote
3/1 OFCOM to demand another Public Apology following an incident that takes place during BB9
5/1 A Housemate to leave within 24hrs of the start
6/1 A Housemate to fall down stairs on arrival
16/1 Housemates to get married within One year of leaving house
20/1 A Housemate to be expelled from the house for fighting
100/1 BB to be taken off air mid series

How many Housemates will walk out?: 15/8 One, 7/4 None, 10/3 Two, 4/1 Three or more