Football bets at Stelawton

November 19th, 2009

If you are a regular reader to this blog, you know that its mainly about football betting. We do other types of betting but football is our bread and butter. We like football betting because the range of football bets is wide but the outcomes are limited. With limited outcomes there is less scope for bookies to add in over round.

Here is a brief description of our favourite football bets.

1X2
This is basically the win-draw-win market or home-draw-away market. 1X2 comes from the bookies coupon in a betting shop. You mark, 1 for a home win, X for a draw and 2 for the away win. Its a self explanatory bet. If you think the home team will win, you bet on the home win. If you think its going to be a draw, then bet on the draw and if you think its going to be an away win, you bet on the away win.

Asian Handicap.
This bet is popular in Asia. You don’t be on the straight result like in 1X2 betting but you bet on the handicap result. A team may get a head start. For example, Chelsea vs Manchester United at Stamford Bridge. Odds on the home win may be 1.91, draw, 3.25 and 4.0 for the away win. On the Asian Handicap, Chelsea will get -0.5 whereas Manchester United would get +0.5. At the end of the game, the handicaps are added to the score and the bet is paid out according to the result. Eg, if it finished 1-1, and you bet on Chelsea, you would lose at the Asian Handicap score would be 0.5 -1.

Unders/ Overs in the goal market.
Betting on scores is useful, when we don’t know who is going to win but know what type of games its going to be. Sometimes, you look at a fixture and you think they could play for 900 minutes and no one is going to score, whereas other times, you can spot a goal feast. Unders generally happen more often than overs so the odds are usually poor. (Think of all those 0-0, 1-0, 2-0, 1-1 scores).

Strong double.
Sometimes, we think a team is going to win but the odds are something like 1.4. Not really a good payout. Find 2 of those, double them in a bet and you almost get even money. We’ve found this to be more profitable to betting on a single at similar odds. The key is to stick to doubles or at most go in to trebles, Any more and it seems like the betting gods strike you down.

So there you have our favourite football bets. We bet on other things like, draw no bet, 1X2 handicaps, anytime goal scorers, etc but they all depend on the price. You can occasionally find good value bets in those but stick with the 1X2, Asian Handicaps, Unders/ Overs and Strong Doubles and you won’t go far wrong.

Back to square one almost

October 25th, 2009

Well, last set of bets went lost 1 won 2. Birmingham scored against Arsenal so that did us in. We did profit overall though £94, bank at +£134.

Monday we had Fulham to beat Hull. 1.67. Fulham win 2-0. £67 profit.
Tuesday we had Sheffield Wednesday to win, lost 2-1, £100 lost.
Saturday, we had Burnley/ Wigan overs. Finished 1-3. £104 profit.

Then today, we’ve had a bit of a disaster. Bolton/Everton unders. Finished 3-2. Also had City to win to nil. Its 2-2 now. Thats £200 lost altogether today. Totting it all up, we are £5 up over the month.

Its been a very tricky weekend betting wise. All my personal bets have gone tits up. Bookies must be clawing back all that money the punters won when there was a lack of draw in the premiership.

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This weekends bets

October 17th, 2009

We took a break for the internationals. Pod wanted England -2 on the Asian against Belarus. I didn’t fancy it so we didn’t have it. England won 3-0. Feels like a loss to him but you can’t look at it that way. We’ve loads of potential bets not placed. You got to offset that with all the bets we didn’t have and would have lost.

Anyway, 3 bets this weekend so far.

Arsenal to win to nil. 1.91. Birmingham couldn’t score in a brothel and are certainly not going to get past a Arsenal defence.

Portsmouth/ Spurs overs. 1.84. Spurs games are usually overs. Away win is 1.91 but we decided to go with overs as it covers more likely scores.

Sheffield Wednesday win. 2.1. Not a clue about this. Pod’s bet of the week.

£100 on each.

Weekend Bets – Good start to the month

October 5th, 2009

A bit late with the update but this month has started well. Just 2 bets.

Spurs/ Bolton overs. £100 at 1.8 after commission on Betfair. Finished 2-2 so bank up to +£80.

Second bet didn’t go as well. It was a perm of doubles on the Man U and Arsenal games. We figured they’d be low scoring to nil scores. So we permed 1-0 and 2-0 in 4 doubles a tenner on each. Epic fail as Man U finished 2-2 and Arsenal 6-2.

So bank after the weekend, +£40.

End of the month – Second highest winning month

September 28th, 2009

Espanyol drew 0-0. I looked at the stats and they won, practically all their home games this year and their opponents, lost practically all their away games. You can’t win them all. Bank down to £449.

Tonight we had City on the Asian handicap. I put in on last night at 1.8 -1. This morning it had dropped to 1.68 but then rose up to kick off to 1.9. Madness. I was a bit worried as odds generally don’t move like that. I heard the starting team and was reassured. City ended up winning 3-1, so handicap cleared. Bank now at £529.

Thats it for the month. Not bothering with the Champions League. Its our second biggest winning month. You have to go back to August 2007 when we won £570 to beat our total for this month. I can imagine the bookies are down as there haven’t been any pesky draws.

All time running total is now -£475. Its not bad since we’ve been going for 31 months. Its actually 4 months profit in a row. Fingers crossed for a good October.

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What a month

September 27th, 2009

Yesterday could not really have gone better for the syndicate. Wednesday win 3-1 and Rotherham 3-0. Bank this month is +£549.

Personally, it wasn’t such a good day. Villa and Chelsea busted my 6 fold and my clawback mission failed. I lumped on Arsenal/ Fulham overs but it ended 1-0.

Today’s bet is Espanyol @1.57. Not a clue but Pod’s on a roll so just having a tonne on it.

Weekend bets 06/09/09

September 26th, 2009

So our mega favourites messed up. Only 1 of the 5 won. Guess Europa League is something that should be avoided.

We didn’t have any bets last weekend. Nothing on the coupon stood out.

Midweek, we had some Carling Cup action. We had Spurs/ Villa Double and Man City Single. £100 on each. The bookies must have thought it was Christmas when City drew in normal time. That must have screwed so many accumulators up. Spurs/ Villa came in anyway. Net profit from the night, £40. Well on paper. I for some reason put Spurs/ City double on instead but thats my retarded mistake. Bank is now at +£298.

This weekend, despite the easiest Premiership coupon I’ve seen in ages, we haven’t gone for any selections in there. We’ve gone for Wednesday at 2.6 and Rotherham at 1.91. £100 each. I don’t know much about these teams. They are Pod’s selections. Both at home though so thats promising.

Mega Favourites European Betting

September 17th, 2009

This is one of those crazy accumulators that pay little and some team is going to screw us over. Seem to be doing well on those though so we thought we’d have another pop.

1 Ajax @ 1.28
2 Hertha Berlin @ 1.25
3 Benfica @ 1.28
4 Lazio @ 1.44
5 Steaua Bucharest @ 1.44
Multiple Bets
1 x 50.00 5 Folds
Stake: 50.00
Potential Winnings: 165.54

We know very little about these teams. Just going on names and odds. Fingers crossed for a little luck.

Champions League bets

September 16th, 2009

German women’s football team hammer England. Looked at the stats after and England were 7/1 for a good reason. Bank was at +£224.

A good week this Champions League. Only team that let us down was Athletico Madrid. We had them in a treble with Real and Chelsea. Would have paid about 2.1. Athletico drew 0-0. The price on the single was just 1.2. That would have busted many an accumulator I think. Luckily we had Man U clean sheet. That paid 1.91 and Man U won 1-0. Bank after Tuesday was +£215.

Tonight we had Liverpool and Lyon double at 1.93 and Inter draw no bet at 2.26. First bet won and the second bet a push. Profit of £93 making the bank £308. Its the most we’ve been up in a while. Happy days for now. We probably could have made more as we were considering unders in the Liverpool game and going for a straight draw on the Inter/ Barca game. Still in profit at about half way through the month.

England Women v Germany Patriotic Punt

September 10th, 2009

Yesterday’s footy went our way. Those ten to one on shots at football very rarely lose. That was a £98 win so bank up to +£231.

Today we are having a cheeky patriotic punt on England womens football against Germany. I know nothing about this. Pod’s watching the build up to it and commentators said that Germany aren’t sparkling this year and England have a good chance. They are 7/1. Was going to be a tenner but Sporting bet for some reason limited the stake to £7.14. Thats to win £50. I guess its to stop them getting shafted in these obscure markets. Bank will either be +£281 or +£224.